Here, we examined whether the publication output before the PhD degree has a correlation with subsequent research activities. We analyzed publication and citation data for Hungarian researchers who obtained PhD between the ages of 24 and 45. Pre-PhD publications (and citations for these) were excluded when assessing post-PhD track records. When running multiple regression analysis for all three metrics (number of Q1 publications, H-index, citation count) as dependent variables and the number of articles, the H-index, the number of citations in the year of the PhD, the calendar year of PhD, and the gender of the researcher as independent variables, the number of articles and the H-index in the year of PhD reached the strongest positive correlations while gender had a negative correlation.
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Győrffy B, Herman P, Szabó I.: Research funding: past performance is a stronger predictor of future scientific output than reviewer scores. Journal of Informetrics 2020;14:101050. In this study, our goal was to perform a large-scale performance evaluation of review-based grant allocation. In total, 42,905 scored review reports prepared for 13,303 proposals were analyzed. In brief, the key messages of our manuscript are: 1) Basic research grants significantly increase scientific performance. 2) Grant review scores have a low correlation with subsequent publication output in the course of the grant time. 3) The past scientometric performance of the principal investigator including H-index, independent citation, and number of Q1 publications are the best predictor of future performance. 4) International reviewers are significantly less efficient than national reviewers.
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Győrffy B, Csuka Gy, Herman P, Török Á.: Is there a Golden Age in publication activity? – an analysis of age-related scholarly performance across all scientific disciplines. Scientometrics 2020;124:1081–1097. The values of measures of individual scholarly performance peak during the Golden Age, but the length of this period of maximum performance varies across disciplines. The results of this study reveal an unexpected degree of predictability with respect to the Golden Age in most analyzed categories. Identifying the Golden Age in diverse research careers may be of substantial help in certain fields for career refinement, including the distribution of grants and tenure positions.
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Győrffy B, Nagy AM, Herman P, Török Á.: Factors influencing the scientific performance of Momentum grant holders: an evaluation of the first 117 research groups. Scientometrics 2018;117(1):409-426. In this paper, we aimed to determine factors associated with the scientific output of 117 Momentum research groups. Scientific performance was independent of gender, degree, international grants, category applied for, and citations received for the best previous publication. International mobility reduced scientific output. Scores received from grant review experts were independent of later publication activity. The strongest correlations were observed between scientific output and total number of citations, H-index, and impact factor in the last two years. Trends in life science and material science grantees were similar, although with higher levels of significances in life sciences.
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